Nine picks. Eight are big contrarian plays going against the public. The one pick that the public agrees with is Arizona State, also the only favorite.
Utah St (+7) – Would have been real bad if I saw this line, recognized value immediately, whaled on the game with a 5-unit bet, and then realized Chuckie Keeton (Utah St QB) is out for the season. Except that’s 100% what happened. Now I know how the Dolphins mascot feels. Excitement to disappointment in seconds.
Kansas St (+19) – On the offshore sites, the line opened at +10.5 and got slaughtered. Instantly rose to +17, then as high as +20. Getting +19 when the bookmakers originally thought +10.5 is value, straight up.
Texas (+14) – Lots of people are down on Texas. Think Mack is going to get fired. It’s like that old quote from Gladiator. Make them think you’re strong when you’re weak and weak when you are strong. If Bevo is at the Cotton Bowl, Texas might win outright.
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