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Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Back On the Board



Last Week 1-2
L-TCU +7
L- Illinois/MTSU Over
W- Vandy +24

I take solace in the fact that if you had picked one streamer to tail this year I would have lost you the least amount of money.




This Weeks Picks:

Iowa +6.5 v Wisconsin
Central Michigan +2 v Northern Illinois
Duke -6.5 v Boston College
Air Force +5.5 v Navy
Georgia +2 v Alabama

Just Kidding





Here are my real picks


Texas Tech/Baylor Over 89.5- 94, 97, 97 and 88. Those are the last 4 year totals for this game. 56 is Baylor's lowest scoring game and Texas Tech is 35, That is 91 right there. I will be surprised if there is a stop in this game.


MSU -21.5- MSU is 0-3 ATS this year. They have only beaten Purdue by 14 the past 2 seasons. So why am I taking them? Because Purdue is 1-6 in their past 7 games ATS and is by far the easiest opponent for MSU this season. MSU has faced 4 bowl teams from last year and are facing Purdue's backup QB this year. I see a 34-10 type finish to this one.


Oregon -7.5- Before the season started this game Oregon was a 27 point favorite. I think the hate for Oregon has swung a bit to far. Colorado is still a horrendous football team. I might wait til Sat morning because you might get this to come down to 7.


Bonus: Maryland +15.5- I wasn't going to post this one but the more I thought about it the more I like. Maryland is atrocious. Just got ran off the field by WVU. Michigan just blew the doors off BYU and now everyone is talking about them and public pouring $ on them. However, 8pm start @ Maryland with Michigan players starting to get a little cocky and won't take this as serious as they should. UM wins this game but it will come down to the 4th quarter.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Self Doubt

When I realize how shorting my picks over the past four years is the most profitable bet in football.


I'm just embarrassed.  Without making excuses.  I'm keeping this week short.  I expect a HEAVY rebound as normal.

My feeling going into week 5:



Kevin's Week Four Picks
L - Georgia Tech (-9.5) over Duke
L - Boston College (-4) over Northern Illinois
L - Ohio State (-31) over Western Michigan
W - Vanderbilt (+24.5) over Mississippi
L - Massachusetts (+27.5) over Notre Dame (LOW)

Kevin's 2015 Record
Overall - 6-14 (horrible%)
Last Week - 1-4 (horrible%)
Lock of Week - 1-3 (horrible%)

Kevin's Week Five Picks
Wisconsin (-6.5) over Iowa
Northern  Illinois (-2) over Central Michigan
Boston College (+6.5) over Duke
Navy (-5.5) over Air Force
Alabama (+2) over Georgia (LOW)

Monday, September 28, 2015

Week 5

+ Lasko’s Week 4 Picks --

Marshall (-19.5) - Old Dominion
Appalachian State (-23) - Wyoming
Baylor (-15) - Texas Tech
Colorado (+9.5) - Oregon

//

Last Week: 1-5
Season: 8-15 (34.8%)
Career: 334-270-14 (55.3%)


Game notes --

Marshall - Old Dominion: The Monarchs give up over 30 pts / game and haven't covered a spread all year.  A decent Marshall team wins by at least 3 touchdowns.

Appalachian State - Wyoming: The Cowboys reek.  0-4 and 1-3 ATS.  This line opened at -21.5 and is bound to go up even more.  Get it now.




Have to think a nice little 2-0 rebound is coming....

Sunday, September 27, 2015

Week 4 Roundup


+ Lasko’s Winners -- 
Appalachian State (-7.5) - Old Dominion

+ Lasko’s Losers -- 
Washington (+5) - Cal
Rice (+35.5) - Baylor
Missouri (+2.5) - Kentucky
Virginia Tech (-8) - East Carolina
Under 47.5 - Ohio vs. Minnesota


*Checks scores on Saturday afternoon*



//

The largest underdog to win straight up:
Utah (+10, ML +300) at Oregon, 62-20

The largest favorite to cover:
Baylor (-33) vs. Rice, 70-17

Everything went according to plan for everyone in the Top 10.  It almost wasn't the case, as TCU needed late heroics to hold off Texas Tech in a shootout, 55-52.  After TCU managed to win in the closing seconds, that pushed the Top 10 teams to a 9-0 SU record, although they were just 3-6 ATS.  The only Top 10 teams to cover were Baylor (-33 vs. Rice), Notre Dame (-28.5) vs. Massachusetts and UCLA (-1) at Arizona.  One of the most shocking results of the weekend came in Eugene.  What appeared to be one of the better matchups on paper coming in turned into be anything but that.  Utah (+10, ML +300) turned it on in the second quarter, and then ran away with a 28-point third-quarter blitzkreig to stun Oregon and the Pac-12 and serve notice to the rest of the conference that the Utes are for real.


In the state of Michigan, the Wolverines beat No. 22 BYU 31-0.  The game featured an Odell-Beckham-like catch....


....and Deveon Smith teleporting....


In East Lansing, Central Michigan put up a good fight against Michigan State before the No. 2 Spartans pulled away for a 30-10 win. Still, the Chips fired up for their fourth cover in as many tries.

As predicted by 2 of the experts on the Mainstream, Ole Miss had a bit of a hangover, getting all they could handle from a sturdy defensive club from Vanderbilt. Ole Miss had 43 or more points in each of their first three games, all covers and overs, but the Rebs managed just 27 points and never threatened to cover the 27-point number.

Tennessee bettors were stunned when Florida struck for a 63-yard touchdown pass with just 1:26 remaining in regulation to give the Gators their 11th straight win over the Volunteers. 'Under' (50.5) bettors were also crushed on the very same play, as the game finished with 55 points.



And finally, we have Texas' special teams doing Texas' special teams things...


Thursday, September 24, 2015

Thursday Update

+ Lasko’s Week 4 Picks --

Under 47.5 - Ohio vs. Minnesota

//

Keep your eye on LSU - Syracuse this weekend.  LSU fans invade upstate New York as the Tigers head to the Carrier Dome.  Early 12pm start.  So naturally the LSU alumni association has gone on record and notified Syracuse that they are coming, and they plan to drink the town dry.  That’s their chief concern -- That Syracuse won’t have enough liquor for them this weekend.  Forget accommodations, hotel space, travel around the city, activities, safety…. “They might meet their alcohol budget for the year.”



The SEC difference

//

Line moves this week:
Michigan has attracted some pro money, while the amateurs are again taking BYU.  As far as the Cougars are concerned, the square action has been collecting all season.

Connecticut was hit hard early and the Huskies continue to get play.  That game has already dropped through the key number of 7.

Texas is gaining some traction with the sharps.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Stained


0-5? 0-5? Are you serious Clark? Thought this was an easy game until last week. Had a bad feeling after watching Boston College struggle to get first downs after scoring 76 the week before. My picks felt like the Auburn defense this week.




This dude must have tailed all my picks...




I promise you one thing. A lot of good will come out of this. You will never see any Streamer in the entire country grind as hard as I will grind the rest of the season. You will never see someone push the rest of the Stream as hard as I will push everybody the rest of the season. You will never see me grind harder than I will the rest of the season.






Last Week
All Losses- Don't even want to see them.

This Week: (got greedy with 5 last week, going back to 3 picks.)

TCU -7 - I mean I know TT just beat a vaunted SEC team but TCU only giving 7 points is ridiculous.


Vandy +24.5- Classic trap game for Ole Miss coming home after beating Alabama. Reminder: it took Ole Miss 2 turnovers off of kick off returns and 3 others from Alabama to beat them by 6 points.   Think about that, winning the turnover margin 5-0 and only winning by 6 points.  Team is not as good as advertised. Don’t tell ESPN that though.*


*Side Note: Ole Miss went from #15 to #3 this week after that win. If you don’t think there is any bias, ask yourself this, if #17 Northwestern were to go into #2MSU or #1OSU and beat them by 6 points, what do you think their ranking would be? Sure as heck not #3.


MTSU @ Illinois O 61.5- Remember this is the Illinois team that feasted on weaker foes to the tune of 48ppg before running into UNC. MTSU has broken 70 points twice this year. Both teams will break 30 this game.



Who will I be this week, the 3-0 or the 0-5?  We will find out!


Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Climbing

Finalizing my 3-2 week:  Not satisfied.  Not upset.  Still expect better.


Week three was OK.  Three wins that I expected.  The other two still seem like good picks to me: South Carolina getting 17 points against their semi-rival that treats them as an afterthought and Georgia Tech who looked like a playoff dark horse and going against a team rebuilding after their QB was knocked out, giving 2.5 points.  Obviously, ND rebuilt quicker than expected with their backup and South Carolina is HORRENDOUS.  With three weeks behind us, I have watched enough football to feel confident going forward.

My climb to the top of the rankings:



Kevin's Week Three Picks and Results
W - Air Force (+26.5) over Michigan State
W - Tulsa (+30) over Oklahoma
L - South Carolina (+17) over Georgia
W - BYU (+16.5) over UCLA
L - Georgia Tech (-2.5) over Notre Dame (Lock of Week)

Kevin's 2015 Record
Overall - 5-10 (33%)
Last Week - 3-2 (60%)
Lock of Week - 1-2 (33%)


Kevin's Week Four Picks
Georgia Tech (-9.5) over Duke
Boston College (-4) over Northern Illinois
Ohio State (-31) over Western Michigan
Vanderbilt (+24.5) over Mississippi
Massachusetts (+27.5) over Notre Dame (LOW)

Monday, September 21, 2015

Week 4

+ Lasko’s Week 4 Picks --

Washington (+5) - Cal
Appalachian State (-7.5) - Old Dominion
Rice (+35.5) - Baylor
Missouri (+2.5) - Kentucky
Virginia Tech (-8) - East Carolina


//

Last Week: 2-4
Season: 7-10 (41.2%)
Career: 333-265-14 (55.7%)


Game notes:

Washington (+5) - Cal: Cal blew all but 1 point of a 21-point lead in the 4th quarter last Saturday at Texas. Meanwhile, Washington was handling a pretty good Utah State team 31-17. Cal gets the advantage on offense, but Washington has the clear statistical advantage on defense.

Missouri (+2.5) - Kentucky: Both teams managed to scored a whopping 9 points last week. Mizzou won 9-6 over lowly UConn at home, while Kentucky lost 14-9 at Florida. After those outings, the Wildcats 103rd in total offense and the Tigers rank 116th.

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Week 3 Roundup

  

+ Lasko’s Winners -- 
Memphis (-2.5) - Bowling Green
UMass (+10.5) - Temple

+ Lasko’s Losers -- 
Illinois (+10.5) - North Carolina
Kansas State (-9) - Louisiana Tech
Boston College (+9) - Florida State
Over 54.5 - Georgia Tech vs. Notre Dame

What a Saturday.  Bloodbath.  Sometimes you just have to be a man and take your medicine.  I mean this was almost sad.  Like watching Larry Holmes basically murder Muhammad Ali in the ring.  When Kevin is posting winners and I am digging myself into an ever deeper hole.... #prayformybankaccount

//

The largest underdog to win straight up:
Furman (+24.5, ML +1565) at UCF, 16-15

The largest favorite to cover:
Mississippi State (-38.5) vs. Northwestern State, 62-13

After a couple of weeks with few upsets to the top teams, it was topsy-turvy Saturday from coast to coast, and it almost came to the doorstep of the national champs. Ohio State entered their game as a 34 1/2 point favorite, but they had to hang on for dear life against Northern Illinois, 20-13.

In the state of Michigan, the Wolverines and Spartans took care of business.  MSU is now #2 in the AP poll and their fans are stoked.



Alabama wasn't as lucky in their SEC opener against Mississippi. Ole Miss fired ahead 30-13 before a spirited comeback by the Tide. After some late scores, an onside kick and some questionable clock management by Hugh Freeze and company, the Rebels were able to notch their second straight victory against the Tide.






Just cancel it.


It wasn't quite shades of 2007 for Southern California, but Stanford paid a visit as a 10-point underdog and came out of the Coliseum with a victory. USC looked like one of the most complete teams, but facing Arkansas State and Idaho is obviously quite different than a conference foe. ... Missouri was a three-touchdown favorite against Connecticut, but fell behind 6-2 at halftime before eeking out a 9-6 win. ... In a battle of Top 15 teams it was LSU pulling away from Auburn, 45-21. The Tigers probably should have lost last week to FCS Jacksonville State, outlasting them in overtime. In this battle of Tigers they weren't even in the same class.

In the bad beat department, there are all kinds of things wrong with the California-Texas game. For anyone who took a chance on Texas on the moneyline, it was an excruciating game. First off, Cal fired out to a 45-24 lead heading into the fourth quarter. ML bettors likely wrote the game off, but they were given hope when Texas rallied to make it 45-44 with 71 seconds remaining in regulation. However, a missed extra point meant a win for Cal, and it was almost like losing twice if you have the Longhorns on the moneyline. The 20-point fourth quarter was also a bad beat for Cal bettors who laid the five.



Friday, September 18, 2015

Friday Update

Lot of chirping from friends today about the BC-FSU line.  Listen, this is all about timing.  You had a 6 hour window yesterday to lock in +9.  I mean you can check the line history on multiple betting sites at Covers.  Read a book for me one time.



¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Thursday Update

What I look like on saturday when I'm grinding a MAC game on gamecast, constantly refreshing, and losing all hope of a cover...


+ Lasko’s Week 3 Picks --

Boston College (+9) - Florida State
UMass (+10.5) - Temple
Over 54.5 - Georgia Tech vs. Notre Dame

//

Adding a few home dogs to the lineup.

Let’s start with FSU at BC -- A Friday night special.  This number jumped from +7.5 to +9 today.  FSU was a 16.5-point favorite last year and kicked a field goal with three seconds left to escape with a 20-17 victory.  Expect another close game this year.

Now as for UMass, I'm doing something that I don't thing has ever been done on the Stream.  I'm going against the model.  Everything points to Temple winning this game big.  The model loves Temple.  The public loves Temple.  Couch loves Temple.  The Owls are off to a hot start.  And yet the line has dropped from +12.5 to +10.5 (still just above a key number).  Someone knows something and I'm jumping on board.

//

Line moves this week:
Love the action from our bets on Monday.  Every game -- Illinois, Memphis, Kansas State -- moving 1 or 1.5 points in our direction and crossing key numbers.  We have a special weekend in the works.

Georgia Tech has been bet heavily by the public.

California was a big early play.  The line opened at Texas +3.5 and moved quickly to +7.  Sharps found a soft number and hit it immediately.

UCLA-BYU is a sharp/square battleground.  The sharps are on UCLA while the public likes the dog.

Wednesday, September 16, 2015

Couch is Burning



Nothing like going a perfect 3-0 on a Saturday! I was riding high after that and when I looked at week 3 games I got scared. So much over reaction after Week 1 that Week 2 was easy pickings. Things have evened out since then and it was tough to find some quality games.


Couch’s Picks

Kentucky +3 - Stoops has done a lot to improve the talent base here, give me the home team and the points. Public still views this as a classic Kentucky game and loves Florida.


Cincinnati -19- Miami (OH) has not scored in the last 9 quarters when the Bearcats come to town. Cincy will cover this one late.


Temple -10.5 - This team is still vastly underrated. The have 2 DL that are going to be playing in the NFL. It won’t be a high scoring game but they will score enough.


Boston College +7.5 - Think FSU is a bit overrated and BC has a quality team. This was a 3 point game last year with Famous Jameis so I think BC keeps it close at home.


UCLA -17 - BYU has played two crazy games against quality opponents in Nebraska and Boise St this league. I think they finally run out of energy this week and UCLA pulls away late to cover.


Sorry for the no graphics, crazy day at work!

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

Shamefaced

Me checking out the scores late Saturday night.



Well week two happened and looked a lot like week one.  The only difference: I was very confident with my week two picks.  I still feel like I took some bad beats.  FAU was pretty much tied at half against Miami at Home and was still getting 17.5 pts before they decided to lay the biggest second half egg of all time.  Notre Dame lost their QB and had a far bigger hangover from week one than anyone could have expected.  Northwestern did not do their standard thing of beating a good team followed by squeaking by a FCS school.  MSU didn't actually look as good as I expected them to look.  

Oh well.  I am in a deep hole and keep on digging it further.  Week three is the time to buy low and hop on the train to a solid 60%+ figure near the end of the year.

Overall feeling going into week 3:



Kevin's Week Two Picks and Results
L - FAU (+17.5) over Miami
L - Notre Dame (-11.5) over Virginia
L - Eastern Illinois (+23) over Northwestern
L - Michigan State (-3.5) over Oregon
W - Clemson (-17) over App State (Lock of Week)

Kevin's 2015 Record
Overall - 2-8 (20%)
Last Week - 1-4 (20%)
Lock of Week - 1-1 (50%)

Kevin's Week Three Picks
Air Force (+26.5) over Michigan State
Tulsa (+30) over Oklahoma
South Carolina (+17) over Georgia
BYU (+16.5) over UCLA
Georgia Tech (-2.5) over Notre Dame (Lock of Week)

Monday, September 14, 2015

Week 3

+ Lasko’s Week 3 Picks --

Illinois (+10.5) - North Carolina
Memphis (-2.5) - Bowling Green
Kansas State (-9) - Louisiana Tech

//

Last Week: 3-3
Season: 5-6 (45.5%)
Career: 331-261-14 (55.9%)


Game notes --

Illinois - North Carolina: The Illini have outscored the opposition 96-3 so far this season, good for a 2-0 SU/ATS mark.

Memphis - Bowling Green: The Tigers beat Kansas 55-23 last week and demoralized their fans in the process.


Sunday, September 13, 2015

Week 2 Roundup



+ Lasko’s Winners -- 
Western Kentucky (+1) - Louisiana Tech
BYU (+3) - Boise State
Over 55 - BYU vs. Boise State

+ Lasko’s Losers -- 
North Texas (+5.5) - SMU
Rutgers (-2) - Washington State
Marshall (-3.5) - Ohio

//

The largest underdog to win straight up:
Toledo (+21.5, ML +925) at Arkansas, 16-12

The largest favorite to cover:
TCU (-45) vs. Stephen F. Austin, 70-7

Nine Top-10 teams won, with only Oregon slipping up because they were facing a fellow Top 10 team in Michigan State.  Top 10 teams managed to go just 3-7 ATS.

The state of Michigan swept Oregon as Harbaugh got his first win as the Wolverines' head coach against Oregon State, and MSU avenged last year's loss in Eugene by edging Oregon 31-28 in East Lansing.

Notre Dame needed some late heroics to stun Virginia in Charlottesville.  With :12 left, backup QB DeShone Kizer connected with Will Fuller to kill moneyline bettors of the Cavaliers.... and this fan.


BYU was at it again.  Easy money.  Boise State held a 24-14 lead heading into the fourth quarter before BYI took a 28-24 lead with :45 left in regulation, and then added a pick-six 15 seconds later.  Never in doubt.


They're also willing to go all out on every play, although nut shots have to be frowned upon in the Mormon religion you’d assume.


Bret Bielema made some headlines last week when he complained about the his team's tough schedule.




In the bad beat department, Boston College was a 44-point favorite over Howard.  They ran out to a 41-0 lead after one quarter, and 62-0 at half.  The third and fourth quarters were shortened to 10 minutes a piece, and 55 minutes is official for action, so the game was graded as a 'no play' despite the utter domination by BC.

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Thursday Update

No more picks today.  Sticking with the five sides and a total.

//

Line moves this week:
Michigan is getting pro cash and the consensus seems to be that this number will continue to creep north.

Notre Dame has been attractive to both sharps and the public.

Penn State was hit reasonably hard by some sharps early in the week.

Stanford was hit hard on Tuesday. It has since leveled out to some extent but the books will probably be rooting for UCF here.

//

And taking you into the weekend, Les Miles thinks the AP Top 25 should be 25 SEC teams.  Hot take city.  


Les must still be recovering from last week when he was rushed to the hospital after OD'ing on coffee.


Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Deep in the Couch Cushions Picks

Hello All,


I will be contributing on Wednesdays.  Lasko got me into this world about 2 years ago and been hooked since.  My best memory is last year grinding a San Jose St. game at 1am on ESPN Gamecast (game wasn’t on TV).  San Jose St. had to drive the length of the field with under 2 minutes to cover.  The flurry of text messages and lines moving across the was the most exciting football I watched all day.  I will be posting a couple of games that stand out to me each week. Here they are for Week 2.

Michigan -15.5 - Admit it, the first thing you did when you saw this line was think Oregon State will easily cover this, this is too easy*.  Then I realized that is what they want me to do.  Oregon is coming from the west coast to play @ noon (9am for them). Harbaugh’s first game @ the big house, place is going to be electric. And Michigan would have beat Utah sans all the turnovers.  Harbaugh fixes that this week and UM rolls.




*Last year there was an NFL game, Steelers at Jets, in which the oddsmakers gave the Jets an advantage and everybody couldn’t believe it and bet their mother on the Steelers.  What happened? Steelers lost to the Jets 20-13 and the Wise Guys and oddsmakers laughed all the way to the bank. Moral of the Story- If a line seems to good to be true, it is!


Stanford -19 -  I am sure the public will be all over UCF after the disaster of a game Stanford played last week.  This is the classic buy low opportunity.  Heck, go buy some futures on Stanford winning the Pac-12, great value.  Stanford will play this game angry and win by 20+.  with UCF taking a long trip across country.  


Hawaii +40 - +40, are you kidding me!  That is reserved for a FCS school.  Think in the NFL how difficult it is for a team to play on Monday night and then play next Sunday.  OSU has to do the same thing but play on Saturday.  That Va Tech game was closer than the score indicated.  Hawaii brings in a Norm Chow as a coach and a former USC Trojan as their QB.  This is Hawaii’s bowl game.  **OSU wins this game easy but Meyer will be bring in the backups early to save some energy.  


**This is what Urbz does not want to happen when his starters are up by 20+




Tuesday, September 8, 2015

Week 2

+ Lasko’s Week 2 Picks --

North Texas (+5.5) - SMU
Rutgers (-2) - Washington State
Marshall (-3.5) - Ohio
Western Kentucky (+1) - Louisiana Tech
BYU (+3) - Boise State
Over 55 - BYU vs. Boise State


Last Week: 2-3
Season: 2-3 (40%)
Career: 328-258-14 (56.0%)



Game notes --

North Texas – SMU: North Texas won this game 43-6 last year.  SMU is 1-14 in its last 15 games.  Give me the points por favor.

Rutgers – Washington State: Academic scandals, arrested players, no big deal -- Rutgers won 63-13 last week, meanwhile Wazzu is absolutely rattled right now.  They were upset at home by Portland State as a 30 point favorite.  Since 1980 there have been 1,235 teams favored by 30 points or more and only 14 of those teams have lost outright.

Marshall – Ohio: If Marshall can beat a Big Ten powerhouse like Purdue in week one, they’ll have no trouble with Ohio.  Got this line at -3.

Western Kentucky – Louisiana Tech: Western Kentucky was favored at the open.  Now that they're catching points, I'm all over this.  One time Hilltoppers.


BYU – Boise State: These teams are meeting for the fourth straight season with the home team having won the previous three matchups. We might need another hail mary as the clock expires but I’m expecting BYU to pull off the win.

Humiliation



You know that feeling when you are super confident about something and extremely excited to kick it off and then it just starts off as a disaster and an embarrassment and you are completely ashamed?  Well I don't feel it at all right now.   Even after going 1-4 (probably should have gone 0-5) and making not bad but horrible picks.   First week is a coin flip and unfortunately I picked the wrong side a few too many times.  As the motto goes, "Start fast, finish last".  Now that I actually saw some of these teams play I could not be more confident about my week two picks and am prepared to turn this train back around and gain some momentum.

Overall feeling going into week 2:



Kevin's Week One Picks and Results

W - South Carolina (-2) over North Carolina
L - Oklahoma State (-23.5) over Central Michigan
L - Penn State (-6.5) over Temple
L - Mississippi State (-23.5) over Southern Mississippi
L - Texas State (+30) over Florida State (Lock of Week)

Kevin's 2015 Record

Overall - 1-4 (20%)
Last Week - 1-4 (20%)
Lock of Week - 0-1 (0%)

Kevin's Week Two Picks

FAU (+17.5) over Miami
Notre Dame (-11.5) over Virginia
Eastern Illinois (+23) over Northwestern
Michigan State (-3.5) over Oregon
Clemson (-17) over App State (Lock of Week)

Monday, September 7, 2015

Week 1 Roundup



The feeling when your last two picks bust and you finish under 50%...




+ Lasko’s Winners -- 
Central Michigan (+24.5) - Oklahoma State
Washington (+12) - Boise State

+ Lasko’s Losers -- 
Wisconsin (+10.5) - Alabama
Mississippi State (-21) - Southern Miss
Under 60 – Arizona vs. Texas-San Antonio

//

The largest underdog to win straight up:
Portland State (+30) at Washington State, 24-17

The largest favorite to cover:
Colorado State (-51) vs. Savannah State, 65-13

Despite Virginia Tech not being able to cover against Ohio State Monday night, home underdogs had a great opening weekend to the college football season, going an impressive 11-3 against the spread.

JT Barrett recorded just one pass and one run vs. Va. Tech and still had 22 more total yards than Christian Hackenberg generated vs. Temple and the Owls' two-man rush.


Still bullish on Penn State for the next four years mostly entirely due to special teams.


And finally, we have Northwestern doing Northwestern things after their upset win over Stanford.



Thursday, September 3, 2015

Thursday Update

A few hours from kickoff… College Football is back.


*At 11pm tonight*



+ Lasko’s Week 1 Picks --

Under 60 – Arizona vs. Texas-San Antonio


Texas-San Antonio has six returning starters and what appears to be holes almost everywhere. Even if RichRod hangs 50, there’s a good chance the Roadrunners don’t reach the endzone tonight.

//

A comment on the Week 1 post got me thinking about over/unders. Going to bring those into play this year. Thanks Anonymous.



PS - Great to have Kevin on the Stream every Tuesday.  If history has taught us anything, it's taught us this -- When you see "Lock of the Week", run in the opposite direction.  Don't walk.  Run.

We still have an opening on Wednesday if anyone is interested in posting their picks each week. 

Tuesday, September 1, 2015

There's a New Kid in the Neighborhood (kind of)

By popular demand, (AKA Laske's request), I will no longer post my picks in the comment section and instead post them alongside Laske as posts.  Read: Make sure you look at who posts the picks before taking any action!  Because this is the first year I'm bringing my picks outside of the comment section, I am throwing out all previous records.  Let's just say that shorting my picks the past three years might have been the only more profitable bet than Laske pre-2014 season.  The rules for my pics are simple.  I am making five picks a week that I believe offer the best value against the field.  No matter how attractive or unattractive a week is, I will pick 5 games.  My picks will be in by Wednesday each week and they will be based off of the covers line as of the time my picks are in.  I also have one Lock of the week which is my most confident pick of the week. I will track overall record, previous week's record, and lock of week (LOW) record.  We have different styles for picks.

Laske built an algorithm based on a ton of research and heavy studies and many books.


I on the other hand, have a less formal and more natural "feel" approach.



Let's get this going.  Week 1, here we go.

Kevin's Week 1 Picks

South Carolina (-2) over North Carolina
Oklahoma State (-23.5) over Central Michigan
Penn State (-6.5) over Temple
Mississippi State (-23.5) over Southern Mississippi
Texas State (+30) over Florida State (Lock of Week)