Another big-time schedule this weekend. Top teams squaring off all day. Auburn (2) vs. Miss St (3). Ole Miss (3) vs. Texas A&M (14). TCU (9) vs. Baylor (5). And don't sleep on Oregon (12) vs. UCLA. I was wrong about the line move, thinking the public would be heavy on Oregon. Hopefully the Streamers locked in UCLA +3 earlier in the week.
With that being said I think those big games have accurate lines. Gotta dig deep to find value this week.
When its Saturday night and my friends point out that one of the Stream's picks just lost:
Only one game on the Monday slate. The public will be on Oregon and this line may move up to +3.5 if you decide to wait. The Ducks are only 2-8 ATS in their last ten games (1-4 this year). I see a close game with the Bruins on saturday and will be taking the points.
One of the craziest Saturdays we’ve seen in a while. 20 favorites lost outright and many others barely hung on.
The wildest game might have been the Stream’s 2-unit play, Cal at Washington State. The teams traded scores all night and the defenses were virtually non-existent. Wazzu had the ball last and drove deep into Cal territory. Instead of going for the TD (and the cover), their chip-shot kick for the win sailed wide right. Heinous loss.
As for the best finish, it's a no-brainer. Arizona State beat USC on a hail mary with no time remaining.
Need to make a splash this week. Thinking 5-0. Some may say this slow start is a cause for concern. People are probably thinking that the Mainstream has lost its touch. Well this is the exactly the time that the Stream digs in and delivers. I legit don't think it's possible that we finish below .500 in back-to-back months. Not today, not ever.
Now to the games. Do I think there's value on Michigan +3.5 in Piscataway?
Dialed up a few winners and losers on Saturday. So much value in the Syracuse line to not deliver (Cuse lost by 16). Some of the Stream's biggest +EV plays this year have been duds.
Bowling Green hung on to beat UMass in a game where both teams went well over 600 yards in total offense. The final Minutemen TD created a potential middle for players who got the optimum numbers on each side that were available during the week.
Ohio State clubbed Cincinnati. The Bearcats got a couple of late first half scores to make this interesting for a bit. But the Buckeyes were way too much, and ended up with some lopsided stat advantages.
Duke flopped in a big spot at Miami. The Blue Devils were gaining lots of believers with their early play, but they got pretty well owned in this one by the ‘Canes. The game was still there for the taking in the fourth quarter with the margin only six, but I never got the sense at any point that Duke would get the win.
Georgia hung on to outlast Tennessee 35-32 in a very exciting game. Todd Gurley ran wild again for the Bulldogs.