When I saw that Duke and Stanford were only 6-point favorites this week:
The old saying goes that when it's a rivalry game, throw the records out the window. Well whoever said that has never seen Cal and North Carolina play defense. Both give up over 500 yards per game, 125th and 127th in the country. There are 128 teams. Disgusting.
+ Week 13 Picks --
Stanford (-6) -
Duke (-6) -
North Texas (-3) -
Lines: 11/17/2014 11:00am
PS - Strictly based on value, I think these lines will increase and are worth consideration. Nevada -8.
Utah St -11.5.
I also like Kansas St +2.5 vs West Virginia but
think that line is going up and will wait.
My reaction when Florida State took the lead over Miami in the 4th quarter:
Here’s why college football is such a crazy game
and people will always love it. Last
week, LSU took Alabama (the best team in the country) to overtime and arguably
should have won the game in regulation.
They were tough, their defense was suffocating, Les Miles was chewing
grass. And this week, well they got
rolled by a team that owned a 17-game conference losing streak (longest in the
nation) and looked like a high school team trying to run the ball. 36 rushing yards on 32 rushes. My goodness.
PS – Every fall, the leaves change, the air gets
cold, and Oregon State is going to upset a ranked team in Corvallis. Great win for the Beavers.
A little line movement yesterday and Wake Forest is up to +17. I like what Wake is bringing to the table lately. No they're not even a decent football team but in the last two weeks, they've lost by 6 to Boston College and 14 to Clemson. Covered both. And it's not like the Wolfpack are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games in Raleigh. Oh wait...
PS - Hey Ball State (Witness the LSU fan in the crowd... Subtle)
We’re now into the homestretch of the regular
season. Love my picks this week. Could go a perfect 8-0. Hasn’t been done this season or even talked
about but I think we’re looking at 8 winners.
PS – I know Florida St is a sucker line and the
public is betting heavy on the Seminoles.
Well I don’t trust a freshman Miami quarterback in primetime. Guy is going to fold.
Double PS – Keep an eye out for bad teams who
appear to have little to play for other than pride and seem ready to hoist the
white flag. They will often circle one
battle as their ‘bowl game’. This was on
display last week as Clemson visited Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are weak and have a remote
chance at avoiding a winless ACC campaign. But if you watched the game on Thursday night,
it was readily apparent that Wake was going to fight. They eventually lost to Clemson but Wake battled
the heavily favored Tigers to a first half standstill. On national TV at home, this was the
proverbial bowl game for Wake Forest and covered the spread wire to wire.
Just when people forgot about the Stream we put
together back to back winning weeks.
Three of the underdogs won outright. And Florida State would have been a lock to
cover if Virginia saved any of their timeouts for the end of the game. Instead the Noles took knees inside the red
zone to run out the clock.
The Stream is back!
Sure the two games with the best value both lost.UNC dropped down to +14.5 and Stanford closed
at +7, and they both turned into duds, but I digress.The Stream is
going to bring it every Saturday for the rest of the year and I wouldn’t
be surprised to finish above 50%. PS - When Pitt missed a chip shot to end the game in regulation and give the Stream a half-point cover:
How is Duke catching more than a field goal? I mean this line is just a head scratcher. Duke is the ranked team. Duke is playing for an appearance in the ACC Championship game. Duke’s defense is 5th in the nation. Duke leads the conference in turnover margin (+8) and Pitt is dead last (-6). It will be a low-scoring game and Duke has the better kicker. Duke is 75% against the spread in their last 20 games, Pitt has only covered once in their last 6.
This line sums up everything I need to know about college football this year. I know I’ve already said this a million times, but there just has never been a more unpredictable season in the history of the game. Never seen anything like it. If Duke doesn’t win this game outright I am done for the rest of the season.