This is what many would call a bad run. The Stream continues to find edge. It was nice to see two of the double-digit underdogs
(Iowa State and Boston College) win outright.
On the other hand, the close losses were brutal. Penn State and UConn missed covering by a
half-point. Old Dominion closed at -20 and the Stream locked it in at -15; so
much value. They won by 14. Western Kentucky went to Triple OT before
missing the cover by two points. Once
the Stream starts finishing on the other side of these coinflips, it’s going to
be a big move.
Classic good news bad news situation. On the positive side, the line moves
continued to move in our direction for the second week in a row. We are getting great value across the
board. On the negative, the games are
horrendous. Heinous efforts from a lot
of teams. Specifically looking at you
Vanderbilt. We lost a few close games
early and then when New Mexico State scored a TD with 15 seconds left in their
Overall I’m not overly concerned. Yeah the short term variance sucks but we are
in this for the long con.
PS – On the bright side at least the Mainstream is
winning more than the Big Ten.
Big games on the schedule this Saturday. Leading the way is the last meeting between Michigan and Notre Dame. And by leading the way I mean it's the 4th most relevant game in the college football world on saturday, though it will decidedly draw one of the biggest TV ratings of the year. Hat-tip to that 50-70 age demographic in the midwest.
Fun fact: Michigan is 24-16-1 vs. the Irish with the 8-game difference all accounted for in the first 8 games of the series. (Michigan outscored Notre Dame 121-16 with 5 shutouts). If we're not counting victories before the wheel was invented, it's been an even back-and-forth rivalry.
In other big games, Michigan State (7) visits Oregon (3), USC (14) visits Stanford (13), and Virginia Tech visits Ohio State (8) in the horseshoe.
[Every stream reader after collecting their Week 2 winnings]
A rare Wednesday post on the Stream. Yesterday only 44 of this week's 74 games had lines. Well 5Dimes just opened lines for the rest. They tried to catch us sleeping at the end of the workday but nothing gets by the Mainstream. Head on a swivel at all times. + Week 2 Picks (Wednesday) -- 2
Units Towson (+28.5) - West Virginia 1
Unit South Carolina St (+35) - Clemson
Full post coming tomorrow afternoon.
PS - When Dana Holgorsen realizes his Mountaineers are in a close game with Towson:
My intensity level while scouting the games this week:
It’s a new week and we have the sportsbooks right
where we want them. Oh, it was a subpar
week 1? Perfect. Now is the time take advantage. “Appear weak when you are
strong, and strong when you are weak.”
Sun Tzu, ever heard of him?
Plain and simple, you just can’t stop the Stream every
week. Not possible.
If there’s anything to take from Week 1, it’s the
line movements. Absurd. I’m not saying that I’m more confident
going into Week 2 after a 10-11 weekend but I am.
The 4-unit bet was such a lock it hurts. I mean I’m not sure how Georgia Southern lost
by a point seeing they were up 10 points with the ball and 6 minutes to
go, but it was as easy a cover as you’ll see.
On the other hand I can’t believe the Eastern Michigan line closed at
-17, we locked it in at -9, and the Eagles didn’t cover. In hindsight I probably would have known the
bet was doomed the moment Eastern Michigan took the field. Can’t imagine the hundred fans in
Ypsilanti were impressed with this sideshow.
Classic case of overthinking an entrance. Keep it simple guys. A little music, some cheerleaders, a flag, it works. Let’s not reinvent the wheel here. Skip the concrete