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Friday, December 2, 2016

Championship Week

Oh so close to a 5-0 week.  First, in Columbus we had the cover and just needed a 4th and goal stop in OT but the UM WR made a great play.  Then, Auburn loses by 18, .5 point off.  If you waited til Saturday you most likely got that # for the push.  Oh well, another winning week.

Championship Week Picks

Western Michigan +16.5 over Ohio
Washington/Colorado - Under 55.5
Alabama/Florida- Under 40.5
Oklahoma/Oklahoma St- Over 76.5
Wisconsin -3 over Penn St

Notes:

Ohio is not a convincing MAC division winner.  They can struggle to score points at times and WMU still have some convincing to do to stay ahead of Navy//Strength vs Strength, you know what these teams like to do? Pass...you know what they are really good at defending? The Pass.  Things the offenses have a tough time moving the ball against DB's that will be playing on Sunday in the future//I see Alabama putting up 28-32 pts against Florida but I can not see Florida getting an offensive score// OU is trying to make a case for the playoff and OSU is going to try and keep up//Penn St is on an 8 game win streak, can you name the non 7 Ohio State teams they beat? Minnesota, Maryland, Pudue, Iowa, Rutgers, Indiana and MSU.  Not exactly murderers row.  Think they are highly over rated.

Last Week 3-2
Season -  23-26-2  (47%) 

Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Big Prediction of the year


It's been a busy year and I've slacked off.  I know.  I'll be back in full force next year.  Nonetheless, you are in luck as I'll be making picks this week in honor of Rivalry week.  The rest of the year and the overall record do not matter.  I've consumed days of college football viewing and these picks are free money for all the readers.

Rivalry Week

Michigan +7 over Ohio State
Auburn +17 over Alabama
Southern California -17 over Notre Dame
Oregon -3 over Oregon State
Florida (+7.5) over Florida State

Free Money.  Go Blue.

Rivalry Week

4-2 last week! If it isn't broke, don't fix it.  Sticking with the top five games of the week.

Auburn +17.5 over Alabama
Utah +10.5 over Colorado
Ohio State -6.5 over Michigan
Washington -6 over Washington State
Florida St -6.5 over Florida

Notes: Hoping that Auburn finds their offensive form they had in the middle of the season.  Nick Saban has NEVER beaten a 9 win Auburn team, Auburn currently has 8 wins// Colorado has to win this game to win the South.  I think they pull it out but I see them playing tight in the beginning with all that pressure.  Utah is looking for revenge after that Oregon game//People are going to read too much into that OSU 1pt win last week.  Conditions were horrible.  I just don't see UM having the offense to keep up with OSU//I said it last week, I couldn't believe I trusted Mike Leach, WSU played a solid half and then fall apart.  The last three games in this rivalry haven't been close//I think people are forgetting how good FSU is this year.  Yes three losses but @Louisville, Clemson and NC.  I just don't see Florida scoring enough points.

Last Week: 4-2
Season: 20-24-2 (45%)

Thursday, November 17, 2016

Week 12

Got to change something up this year.  Don't have time to scour through all the games to find value.  Picking the top 5 games of the week to make it easier on myself.

Houston +14.5 over Louisville
TCU -4 over Ok State
Florida +13.5 over LSU
Washington State +4.5 over Colorado
Oklahoma -3 over West Virginia

Bonus: MSU +22.5 over Ohio State

Notes: Both of Houstons losses have come on the road.  This game is at home where they are undefeated this season.  You are getting 2 touchdowns//TCU is coming off a bye where Ok State just struggled at home against TT//Floida's defense got back into form last week and should keep this game close since they have to win to stay atop the East// Quick Quiz, name the last time WSU lost a game? If you said Sept 10th you are correct.  8 straight wins including @ Stanford.  Can't believe I am trusting Mike Leach//Oklahoma is playing like a Final 4 team right now and needs a big win on the road this week.  Do you trust Dana Holgerson to pull this one out?  Me either.  I think Sooner roll by double digits.  Bonus//Did you know Spartans are 3-1 against OSU when MSU in unranked in Nov.  This game means a ton to those looked over Ohio Spartans.  Sparty keeps it under 20.

Last week: 1-3-1
Season: 16-22-2 (42%)

Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Week 12

+ Week 12 Picks --
Pick is first team listed

UCLA (+13) - USC
Central Florida (+1.5) - Tulsa
Middle Tenn. (-4) - Charlotte
Troy St. (-8) - Arkansas St.
Kent (-3) - Bowling Green



Last Week: 1-3-1
Season: 27-29-1 (48.2%)
Career: 392-323-16 (54.8%)

Friday, November 11, 2016

Week 11

Week 11 Picks

Oklahoma St -12.5 over Texas Tech
Rutgers +14 over Michigan State
Oregon +3 over Stanford
Minnesota +7 over Nebraska
Oklahoma -17.5 over Baylor

Notes:

Texas Tech is just brutally bad//MSU is 0-7 ATS when favored this year with 6 outright losses!//I like Oregon at home in rivalry game//Don't know Nebraskas mindset after the past few weeks plus we dont know about Tommy Armstrong//The question has been answered, Baylor isnt good.


Last Week 2-3
Season 15-19-1 (44%)

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Week 11

+ Week 11 Picks --
Pick is first team listed

Minnesota (+7) - Nebraska
Vanderbilt (+3.5) - Missouri
Georgia Southern (-6.5) - Louisiana-Lafayette
Colorado (-16) - Arizona
Iowa St. (-10) - Kansas



Last Week: 2-3
Season: 26-26 (50.0%)
Career: 391-320-15 (55.0%)

Friday, November 4, 2016

Week 10

+ Week 10 Picks --
Pick is first team listed

Missouri (+7) - South Carolina
Baylor (-7.5) - TCU
Florida St. (-5.5) - NC St.
Texas-San Antonio (+20.5) - Middle Tenn.
Nevada (+15) - New Mexico



Last Week: 3-2
Season: 24-23 (51.1%)
Career: 389-317-15 (55.1%)


Back over .500...

Thursday, November 3, 2016

Week 10


Week 10 Picks

LSU +7.5 over Alabama
California +17.5 over Washington
Arkansas +4 over Florida
Wyoming -5 over Utah State
Michigan State -7 over Illinois


Last Week 4-1
Season 13-16-1 (45%)

Starting to get warm, been nice the past couple of weeks.  LSU is playing inspired on offense the past couple of weeks and should keep it close plus I dont trust a Freshmen QB on the road in Tiger Stadium, weird stuff happens there/California has a good enough offense to get you a backdoor cover. Back to back road games is a lot of miles on the Huskies//Don't know if Florida's defense can stop Arkansas offense//Wyoming is a damn good football team//MSU discovered some confidence playing Michigan last week, plus who know what the Illini's QB situation looks like this week.

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Week 9



Picks

Ok State +3.5 over WVU
Texas +3.5 over Baylor
Houston -9.5 over UCF
Northwestern +26.5 over Ohio State
Auburn -4.5 over Ole Miss

Last week 2-2-1
Season 9-15-1 (37.5%)


Notes:

Ok State getting points at home.  Should be 6-1 if not for that CMU game//Charlie's last stand in Austin, is Baylor even good?//Bounce back for Houston, 9 is not that hard for them to cover//Northwestern is getting more points against OSU than MSU (who NW beat on the road by 14) against UM//My Auburn play is that Chad Kelly and Ole Miss just mail in the rest of the year.

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

Week 9

+ Week 9 Picks --
Pick is first team listed

North Texas (+3.5) - Texas-San Antonio
New Mexico (+3) - Hawaii
Old Dominion (-4) - UTEP
Rice (+28) - Louisiana Tech
Florida (-7.5) - Georgia


Last Week: 2-3
Season: 21-21 (50.0%)
Career: 386-315-15 (55.1%)


PS - Has anyone seen Kevin?



Friday, October 21, 2016

Couch's Week 8 Picks


Week 6 Recap

Loss-New Mexico +19 over Boise State
Loss-Oregon +9.5 over Washington
Win-Florida State +2.5 over Miami
Loss- Rutgers +31 over Michigan
Win- Ball St +12.5 over Central Michigan

Last Week 2-3
Season 7-13 (35%)

Week 8 Picks

Texas A&M +19 over Alabama
Western Michigan -22.5 over Eastern Michigan
Purdue +24 over Nebraska
Utah +7 over UCLA
Ohio St +19.5 over Penn State

Notes

The A&M play is simply a numbers play.  That is a large spread and at worst you will be looking at a backdoor cover late//WMU- row that boat!//Thinking Purdue gets a spark from their coaching change and keeps it close on the road//Utah is just a better team than UCLA//OSU needs to keep up its style points and roll over PSU

Thursday, October 20, 2016

Week 8

+ Week 8 Picks --
Pick is first team listed

Virginia (+11) - North Carolina
Marshall (-10) - Charlotte
Navy (+2.5) - Memphis
Colorado St. (+2.5) - UNLV
Kent St. (+3.5) - Ohio


Last Week: 3-2
Season: 19-18 (51.4%)
Career: 384-312-15 (55.2%)

Friday, October 14, 2016

Week 7

+ Week 7 Picks --
Pick is first team listed

UNLV (+9) - Hawaii
Nevada (+2.5) - San Jose St.
Utah (-7) - Oregon St.
Texas St. (+8) - Louisiana-Monroe
Mississippi St. (+7.5) - BYU


Last Week: 2-3
Season: 16-16 (50.0%)
Career: 381-310-15 (55.1%)

Friday, October 7, 2016

Couch's Hurricane Picks




Recap


Win- Washington -3.5 over Stanford
Loss-TCU +3.5 over Oklahoma
Loss- Syracuse +10.5 over Notre Dame
Loss- Buffalo +18.5 over Boston College
Loss-Tennessee -3.5 over Georgia

Last Week- 1-4
Season - 5-10 (33%)

Maybe this Hurricane sweeping my house out to sea is just what I needed to get back on the winning side!


Week 6 Picks

New Mexico +19 over Boise State
Oregon +9.5 over Washington
Florida State +2.5 over Miami
Rutgers +31 over Michigan
Ball St +12.5 over Central Michigan


Wednesday, October 5, 2016

Week 6

+ Week 6 Picks --
Pick is first team listed

Florida Intl. (+6) - UTEP
Arizona St. (+10) - UCLA
Vanderbilt (+3) - Kentucky
Army (+6) - Duke
Ohio St. (-28.5) - Indiana


Last Week: 3-2
Season: 14-13 (51.9%)
Career: 379-307-15 (55.2%)

Friday, September 30, 2016

Couch's Corner



Recap


Win-Auburn +3.5 over LSU
Loss-Northwestern +8 over Nebraska
Loss-Marshall +26.5 over Louisville
Loss-UTSA +5.5 @ Old Dominion
Win- Western Michigan -7 over Georgia Southern

Last week 2-3
Season 4-6 (40%)


Week 5 Picks


Washington -3.5 over Stanford
TCU +3.5 over Oklahoma
Syracuse +10.5 over Notre Dame
Buffalo +18.5 over Boston College

Tennessee -3.5 over Georgia

No Feel on this week at all. How I feel picking this week....



Thursday, September 29, 2016

Heating Up

Again, another solid week.  If it weren't for an absolute collapse by Florida (Tennessee is the WORST top 15 team by FAR) and about 10 lucky passes by TN as Dobbs got smashed by Florida, the pick would have been fine.  Also, BYU with a late cover (WV up 17 in the 4th quarter)... should have been 5-0.  Ended up 3-2.  Two solid weeks of picks.  

Each week when I watch Tennessee play after hearing about their athleticism:



6-4 in the last two weeks.  Plan to use this as a spark for the rest of the year.  When someone reminds me that my lock of the week is 1-3 (25%):



Kevin's Week 5 Picks
Stanford +3 over Washington
Duke -3.5 over Virginia
Michigan -10.5 over Wisconsin
Memphis +14.5 over Ole Miss
Georgia +3 over Tennessee (LOW)

Last Week's Picks
Duke +20.5 over Notre Dame - W
Kentucky -2.5 over South Carolina - W
Stanford -1.5 over UCLA - W
Florida +5 over Tennessee - L
West Virginia -7 over BYU (LOW) - L

Kevin's 2016 Record
Overall - 10-10 (50%)
Last week - 3-2 (60%)

Lock of Week (LOW) - 1-3 (25%)

Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Week 5

+ Week 5 Picks --
Pick is first team listed

Utah (+2) - California
Fresno State (+10) - UNLV
San Jose State (+9) - New Mexico
Rice (+24.5) - Southern Miss.
Louisiana Tech (-18.5) - UTEP


Last Week: 3-2
Season: 11-11 (50.0%)
Career: 376-305-15 (55.2%)

Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Week 4 Roundup

Clemson kicked off the week with a 26-7 road win at Georgia Tech on thursday night for the second straight cover after opening 0-2 ATS in their first two outings. The Tigers defense is on a roll, allowing a total of seven points in the past two games. The under is now a perfect 4-0 for Clemson on the season.

It was a battle of Top 10 teams between Michigan State and Wisconsin, but only one team showed up. The Badgers rolled to their second high-profile win of the season, topping Sparty 30-6. The Badgers are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Wisconsin's defense has allowed 11.8 points per game (PPG), and the under is 3-1.


Michigan rolled to a 49-10 win over Penn State in their conference opener. The Wolverines improved to 3-1 ATS, while the over is now a perfect 4-0. Next up for the Wolverines is the biggest test to date, as Wisconsin pays a visit to the Big House next Saturday.

Tennessee finally snapped their losing skid against rival Florida, although it didn't start out looking that way. The Gators entered with an 11-game winning streak in this series, and jumped out to a 21-3 lead at the half. However, the second half was all Vols, outscoring the Gators 35-7 en route to a big win and a cover.

LSU headed for the Plains to take on Auburn. The home team won without scoring a touchdown for the first time since 2008 when the Tigers topped Mississippi State 3-2. LSU also lost Heisman hopeful Leonard Fournette to an ankle injury, although he was able to appear later in the final drive, mostly as a decoy. LSU appeared to have a touchdown in the back corner of the end zone for a miraculous win, but after further review the Tigers were unable to get the play off before the play clock hit :00. Before that...