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Sunday, January 18, 2015

2015 Season

See you again in August for next season's over/under bets. (Went 3-0 this year, nbd.)

The final record was 54-64-2 (45.8%).  If I had to describe this season via gif:

In the long run, this was a bump in the road.  A bump that definitely caused a few flat tires but a bump nonetheless.  We'll be back this fall and put Mainstream back on the map.

Thursday, January 15, 2015

Bowl Games Recap

What Oregon did to Florida State in the Rose Bowl:

+ Bowl Winners -- 
Ohio State (+9.5) - Alabama
South Carolina (+4) - Miami FL

+ Bowl Losers -- 
Florida St (+9.5) - Oregon


Last Week: 2-1
Season: 54-64-2 (45.8%)
Net Units: -8
Win/Loss: $-1454.48

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Bowl Games

Update on the Stream's climb to 50%:

If I've said it once I've said it a thousand times, always bet on Urban Meyer when he's an underdog.  I mean everyone knew that his team would come to play in the Big Ten championship and Cardale Jones would sling it all over the field.  Now the question has to be asked, does Ohio State cover against Bama or do the Buckeyes win outright?

+ Bowl Picks --

1 Unit
Ohio State (+9.5) - Alabama
Florida St (+9.5) - Oregon
South Carolina (+4) - Miami FL


Lines: 12/16/2014 8:00pm

Monday, December 15, 2014

Week 15 Recap


+ Week 15 Winners -- 

+ Week 15 Losers -- 
Florida St (-3.5) - Georgia Tech
Ohio State (+4) - Wisconsin


Last Week: 0-2
Season: 52-63-2 (45.2%)
Net Units: -9
Win/Loss: $-1536.30

Saturday, December 6, 2014

Week 15 Picks

In a first for the Stream, my algorithm found no value on a college football Saturday.  In the model's view, the lines are priced correctly across the board.

With that said I have a slight lean in two games, and by slight lean I mean that I will be getting aggressive at the sportsbook.  My gut feeling is that Florida State and Wisconsin both cover.

With Georgia Tech losing their best receiver, I think they become one-dimensional and FSU's defense shuts them down.  DeAndre Smelter had 715 receiving yards for the Yellow Jackets this year.  The next closest was Darren Waller with 255.  That's for the year.  The entire year.  It pains me to bet against Zach Laskey, I mean the guy is just a touchdown machine (9 total TDs this year), but this is business.

FSU -3.5

With Ohio State, first thing's first.  Cardale Jones can't pass.  Cardale Jones can't run.  The question mark is how much of an impact Jalin Marshall will have on the game.  Either way, there's the chance that the Buckeyes offense just implodes and if that happens, I want to be on the other side.

Wisconsin -4

Monday, December 1, 2014

Week 15 - Championship Week

The Stream's performance this year summarized in one gif:

Some interesting games on the slate this weekend.  How will Ohio State's offense look without JT Barrett?  Will Oregon look to make a statement after getting embarrassed by Arizona the last two years?  Should the line in the SEC title game really be 14.5 points?

Check back on Thursday.

Sunday, November 30, 2014

Week 14 Recap

Saturday was exactly why you don't mess with college football in November.  I woke up on Saturday thinking all of my calculated plays were going to go undefeated.  Before I know it, up is down, down is up and I can't make sense of anything.  I mean look at the Michigan - Ohio State game.  Gardner's first pass of the game sails right into the hands of an OSU safety, Vonn Bell.  Unrelated but kinda related, it may have been Bell's second best catch of the game.

Anyways, OSU scores a few plays later.  I got 75 texts from friends all saying the same thing... This is going to be a blowout!!!  Fast forward and the game has turned into a battle.  If not for a few coaching blunders by Hoke, Michigan would be leading in the 3rd quarter and there's no chance OSU covers the 21 points.  Oh wait, the Buckeyes score two touchdowns in 50 seconds and now lead 42-21.  But there's still a few minutes left and yep, Michigan backdoors the cover with a minute to go.  Vintage November football.  Almost impossible to predict.

+ Week 14 Winners -- 
Virginia Tech (+1.5) - Virginia

+ Week 14 Losers -- 
Massachusetts (+2) - Buffalo
Penn State (+13.5) - Michigan St


Last Week: 1-2
Season: 52-61-2 (46.0%)
Net Units: -7
Win/Loss: $-1336.30

PS - Hey Coach Hoke,

Saturday, November 29, 2014

Rivalry Week

Rivalry games on top of rivalry games. All day.

Let's take a look at my plans for the next 12 hours:

Friday, November 28, 2014

Thursday Picks

Watching Buffalo take a 20-0 lead en route to their first road win of the season:

OK, the line for Penn State did not rise.  At all.  I mean it even dropped to +13 for a minute.  But that's neither here nor there.  Here's what I know.  The Spartans have not been held below 35 points since Oct. 4 against Nebraska.  The over/under is 45 and it's going to be a low scoring game.  The Spartans are getting a ton of public money.   It's a total mystery.  I wouldn't recommend betting on Penn State, but I wouldn't recommend not betting on them either.  Either way, I need a mid-afternoon grind tomorrow.

+ Week 14 Picks (Thursday) --

1 Unit

Penn State (+13.5) - Michigan St


Lines: 11/27/2014 12:00pm

Monday, November 24, 2014

Week 14

Virginia and Buffalo are road favorites.  Virginia and Buffalo are both 0-4 on the road.  Give me the home dogs.  One time.

+ Week 14 Picks --

1 Unit
Virginia Tech (+1.5) - Virginia
Massachusetts (+2) - Buffalo


Lines: 11/24/2014 11:00am

PS – Will be betting Penn State this week against Sparty.  Just waiting for the line to rise, then will attack.  (Currently +13.5)

Double PS – Do any of my Sparty friends like it when I pick against MSU on the Stream?