Oh so close to a 5-0 week. First, in Columbus we had the cover and just needed a 4th and goal stop in OT but the UM WR made a great play. Then, Auburn loses by 18, .5 point off. If you waited til Saturday you most likely got that # for the push. Oh well, another winning week.
Championship Week Picks
Western Michigan +16.5 over Ohio
Washington/Colorado - Under 55.5
Alabama/Florida- Under 40.5
Oklahoma/Oklahoma St- Over 76.5
Wisconsin -3 over Penn St
Ohio is not a convincing MAC division winner. They can struggle to score points at times and WMU still have some convincing to do to stay ahead of Navy//Strength vs Strength, you know what these teams like to do? Pass...you know what they are really good at defending? The Pass. Things the offenses have a tough time moving the ball against DB's that will be playing on Sunday in the future//I see Alabama putting up 28-32 pts against Florida but I can not see Florida getting an offensive score// OU is trying to make a case for the playoff and OSU is going to try and keep up//Penn St is on an 8 game win streak, can you name the non 7 Ohio State teams they beat? Minnesota, Maryland, Pudue, Iowa, Rutgers, Indiana and MSU. Not exactly murderers row. Think they are highly over rated. Last Week 3-2 Season - 23-26-2 (47%)
It's been a busy year and I've slacked off. I know. I'll be back in full force next year. Nonetheless, you are in luck as I'll be making picks this week in honor of Rivalry week. The rest of the year and the overall record do not matter. I've consumed days of college football viewing and these picks are free money for all the readers.
Michigan +7 over Ohio State
Auburn +17 over Alabama
Southern California -17 over Notre Dame
Oregon -3 over Oregon State
Florida (+7.5) over Florida State
4-2 last week! If it isn't broke, don't fix it. Sticking with the top five games of the week.
Auburn +17.5 over Alabama
Utah +10.5 over Colorado
Ohio State -6.5 over Michigan
Washington -6 over Washington State
Florida St -6.5 over Florida
Notes: Hoping that Auburn finds their offensive form they had in the middle of the season. Nick Saban has NEVER beaten a 9 win Auburn team, Auburn currently has 8 wins// Colorado has to win this game to win the South. I think they pull it out but I see them playing tight in the beginning with all that pressure. Utah is looking for revenge after that Oregon game//People are going to read too much into that OSU 1pt win last week. Conditions were horrible. I just don't see UM having the offense to keep up with OSU//I said it last week, I couldn't believe I trusted Mike Leach, WSU played a solid half and then fall apart. The last three games in this rivalry haven't been close//I think people are forgetting how good FSU is this year. Yes three losses but @Louisville, Clemson and NC. I just don't see Florida scoring enough points.
Got to change something up this year. Don't have time to scour through all the games to find value. Picking the top 5 games of the week to make it easier on myself.
Houston +14.5 over Louisville
TCU -4 over Ok State
Florida +13.5 over LSU
Washington State +4.5 over Colorado
Oklahoma -3 over West Virginia
Bonus: MSU +22.5 over Ohio State
Notes: Both of Houstons losses have come on the road. This game is at home where they are undefeated this season. You are getting 2 touchdowns//TCU is coming off a bye where Ok State just struggled at home against TT//Floida's defense got back into form last week and should keep this game close since they have to win to stay atop the East// Quick Quiz, name the last time WSU lost a game? If you said Sept 10th you are correct. 8 straight wins including @ Stanford. Can't believe I am trusting Mike Leach//Oklahoma is playing like a Final 4 team right now and needs a big win on the road this week. Do you trust Dana Holgerson to pull this one out? Me either. I think Sooner roll by double digits. Bonus//Did you know Spartans are 3-1 against OSU when MSU in unranked in Nov. This game means a ton to those looked over Ohio Spartans. Sparty keeps it under 20.
Oklahoma St -12.5 over Texas Tech
Rutgers +14 over Michigan State
Oregon +3 over Stanford
Minnesota +7 over Nebraska
Oklahoma -17.5 over Baylor
Texas Tech is just brutally bad//MSU is 0-7 ATS when favored this year with 6 outright losses!//I like Oregon at home in rivalry game//Don't know Nebraskas mindset after the past few weeks plus we dont know about Tommy Armstrong//The question has been answered, Baylor isnt good.
LSU +7.5 over Alabama
California +17.5 over Washington
Arkansas +4 over Florida
Wyoming -5 over Utah State
Michigan State -7 over Illinois
Last Week 4-1
Season 13-16-1 (45%)
Starting to get warm, been nice the past couple of weeks. LSU is playing inspired on offense the past couple of weeks and should keep it close plus I dont trust a Freshmen QB on the road in Tiger Stadium, weird stuff happens there/California has a good enough offense to get you a backdoor cover. Back to back road games is a lot of miles on the Huskies//Don't know if Florida's defense can stop Arkansas offense//Wyoming is a damn good football team//MSU discovered some confidence playing Michigan last week, plus who know what the Illini's QB situation looks like this week.
Ok State +3.5 over WVU
Texas +3.5 over Baylor
Houston -9.5 over UCF
Northwestern +26.5 over Ohio State
Auburn -4.5 over Ole Miss
Last week 2-2-1 Season 9-15-1 (37.5%)
Ok State getting points at home. Should be 6-1 if not for that CMU game//Charlie's last stand in Austin, is Baylor even good?//Bounce back for Houston, 9 is not that hard for them to cover//Northwestern is getting more points against OSU than MSU (who NW beat on the road by 14) against UM//My Auburn play is that Chad Kelly and Ole Miss just mail in the rest of the year.
Loss-New Mexico +19 over Boise State Loss-Oregon +9.5 over Washington Win-Florida State +2.5 over Miami Loss- Rutgers +31 over Michigan Win- Ball St +12.5 over Central Michigan Last Week 2-3 Season 7-13 (35%) Week 8 Picks Texas A&M +19 over Alabama Western Michigan -22.5 over Eastern Michigan Purdue +24 over Nebraska Utah +7 over UCLA Ohio St +19.5 over Penn State Notes The A&M play is simply a numbers play. That is a large spread and at worst you will be looking at a backdoor cover late//WMU- row that boat!//Thinking Purdue gets a spark from their coaching change and keeps it close on the road//Utah is just a better team than UCLA//OSU needs to keep up its style points and roll over PSU
Again, another solid week. If it weren't for an absolute collapse by Florida (Tennessee is the WORST top 15 team by FAR) and about 10 lucky passes by TN as Dobbs got smashed by Florida, the pick would have been fine. Also, BYU with a late cover (WV up 17 in the 4th quarter)... should have been 5-0. Ended up 3-2. Two solid weeks of picks.
Each week when I watch Tennessee play after hearing about their athleticism:
6-4 in the last two weeks. Plan to use this as a spark for the rest of the year. When someone reminds me that my lock of the week is 1-3 (25%):
Kevin's Week 5 Picks
Stanford +3 over Washington
Duke -3.5 over Virginia
Michigan -10.5 over Wisconsin
Memphis +14.5 over Ole Miss
Georgia +3 over Tennessee (LOW)