When the model gets back to a +.500 week:
+ Week 7 Winners --
Texas Tech (+4.5) - West
Virginia
TCU (+7.5) - Baylor
Utah St (+3.5) - San
Jose St
Rice (-3) - Texas-San
Antonio
Utah (+7.5) - UCLA
Navy (+2.5) - Central
Michigan
Eastern Michigan (+16.5)
– Toledo
Akron (+20.5) - Ohio U.
Alabama (-21) – Missouri
Ball St. (-3) – Western
Michigan
+ Week 7 Losers --
Texas A&M (-7.5) -
Louisiana Tech
Hawai`i (+3.5) - New
Mexico
Boston College (+28.5) -
Florida St
Colorado St (+20.5) -
San Diego St
Brigham Young (-2.5) -
Oregon St
Missouri (+21.5) -
Alabama
Army (+1.5) - Kent St
Western Michigan (+3) -
Ball St
Florida Int'l (+3) -
Middle Tennessee St
// Kent St is now 5-1 against the spread this
year. Killing it.
// The Texas A&M loss was flatout diabolical.
Up 27-0. Up 15 with two minutes to go.
Onside kicks everywhere. Never seen such thing.
// Betting back against Missouri and WMU were two
negative scalps. After each team
announced their QB was out, both hedges were positive-EV plays.
Last Week: 10-9
Season: 63-48-1 (56.8%)
3 comments :
H, you have bama -21 as a W when mizzou +21.5 was the posted play
Disregard, just saw you hedged out of the exposure...
#value
Yes sir. Posted the update the previous Thursday that I was getting out of both bets once I factored in QB injuries. With Bama, I technically played a weak middle. If Bama rolled [tide] by 21, I would have won 1 bet and pushed the other. As it played out, I only lost the vig.
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