When you stray from the model and ride someone else's picks for a week:
Kentucky (+28) - Georgia
Utah (+10.5) - Oregon St
Boston College (+14.5) - Georgia Tech
Kansas St (+3) - West Virginia
North Texas (+4) - Louisiana-Lafayette
Michigan (-10) - Michigan St
Washington (+7.5) - Arizona
San Jose St (-13.5) - Texas-San Antonio
Nebraska (-4) - Northwestern
Temple (+6) - Rutgers
SMU (+6) - Houston
South Florida (+7) - Louisville
Colorado (+41) - Southern Cal
For the games in blue, there is barely enough value for the model to recommend a bet. Even a half-point discrepancy in the price would remove these bets from the list. This is not surprising as we continue to know more about each team (more available data) and the margins get tighter. The same thing happened in 2011.
Last Week: 10-9
Season: 63-48-1 (56.8%)
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+ Gut Plays --
Ball St (-3) - Central Michigan. CMU is 2-17 in their last 19 games ATS. Couldn’t cover a pillow.
Season: 63-48-1 (56.8%)
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+ Gut Plays --
Ball St (-3) - Central Michigan. CMU is 2-17 in their last 19 games ATS. Couldn’t cover a pillow.
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