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Thursday, September 25, 2014

Thursday Picks

When people get behind the Stream's picks after a 9-4 week:


So people are betting big on Michigan this week?  I have no idea why.  The line opened as low as -7 and the train has left the station.  This game is also drawing a ton of discussion in the Stream’s comment section (two posts).

Popular teams as big chalk don’t usually draw in the sharps but that’s not the case this week with Ohio State.   Lots of pro money on the Bucks.

Bowling Green opened as an -11 point favorite and dropped down to -4.5.  I see some value there.  We’ll toss a unit on the Falcons this week.

There is a sharp/square battle in the Big 12 with the pros backing Iowa State. The public is very reluctant to play against monster offenses like Baylor, this line move is all from sharp bets.

(h/t Dave Cokin)



+ Week 5 Picks (Thursday) --

2 Units
Eastern Illinois (+6) - Ohio U.

1 Unit
Bowling Green (-4.5) - Massachusetts
Duke (+7) - Miami FL
Vanderbilt (+17) - Kentucky
Rice (-8) - Southern Miss

//

Lines: 9/25/2014 11:00am




PS – I’m keeping my eye on ‘Washington St (+13.5) – Utah’ and ‘Kent St (+27.5) – Virginia.’  If they reach +14 and +28, I’ll lock that number.

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