Let’s do this. Back for Year 3.
I collected data for every team. The regressions were run. And the model is ripe to pick some winners. You can visit the Stream each week and find value. Wash, rinse, repeat.
I'll run the algorithm at 12pm on Mondays and Thursdays, lines taken from 5Dimes. Picks will be posted shortly after.
If you’ve followed my picks the last two years, you got to enjoy everything that comes with football betting and not lose money. I didn’t perform as well last year but improvements were made. Rome wasn’t built in a day I guess.
2012: 104-91-5 (53.3%)
2011: 83-48-4 (63.4%)
If you only bet my top five plays every week in 2012, you would have finished 38-30 (56%).
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PS - This summer there was a story about a bettor hitting 70%. This raised a red flag for a lot of sports betting folks who proved he was a fraud. Bob Voulgaris, whom Nate Silver called the best sports bettor in the world, only wins about 57% of his NBA bets. SportsInsights ran the numbers in June and found that your chances of winning 70% of bets against the spread are about one in one trillion.
Can we hit something in the high-50's this year? I don’t want to sound overconfident but yes.
3 comments :
Mike, have been waiting anxiously for the games to begin. If
your last two seasons of picks have proven anything it is this:
with your football perspicacity and my virtually unlimited
capital, bookmakers everywhere are already dreading
the coming onslaught.
It's go time!
That's right my friend. It's that time of year to pillage the sportsbooks.
Rumor has it that, if the model performs above 58% this year, Walters is thinking about making you an offer you cant refuse.
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