When my friends are ready to place a bet but see that the model disagrees:
+ Week 5 Plays --
Boston College (+9.5) - Clemson
Boston College (+9.5) - Clemson
Oklahoma St (+2.5) - Texas
Duke (+3) - Wake Forest
Utah St (-17.5) - UNLV
Southern Miss (+10.5) - Louisville
Arizona St (+2.5) - California
Wisconsin (+13.5) - Nebraska
Connecticut (-18) - Buffalo
Arkansas St (+2.5) - Western Kentucky
Houston (-4.5) - Rice
Purdue (-15.5) - Marshall
Tulsa (-13.5) - Alabama-Birmingham
Tulane (+20) - Louisiana-Monroe
Last Week: 10-7
Season: 38-20-1 (65.5%)
Last Week: 10-7
Season: 38-20-1 (65.5%)
//
+ Gut Plays --
TCU (-17) – SMU. The Horned Frogs are an absolute force right now.
TCU (-17) – SMU. The Horned Frogs are an absolute force right now.
4 comments :
Any pattern with the Thursday additions? Last week they were 5-1
The Thursday picks are those that either didn't have a line on Monday or the line changed to a new price where I see value.
Unless the line has a big shift, I probably won't have a lot of confidence on the Thursday plays. In the long run, my best bets should be those that are listed at the top of Monday's picks.
I def see Clem moving to double digit favorites.
I bet Boston College (+10.5) early on Monday. For this site, I use the Monday mid-day lines at 5Dimes which is why (+9.5) is listed. Right now it's 9 or 9.5 at most sites.
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