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Monday, August 27, 2012

Week 1 - College. Football. [faints]

Get Wet



As of Monday night, only about 60% of the Week 1 lines have been released.  I'll post updates as the week progresses.

+ Week 1 Plays --
Stanford (-26) - San Jose St
Bowling Green (+29) - Florida
North Texas (+44) - LSU
Notre Dame (-15) - Navy
Baylor (-10) - SMU
Hawaii (+40) - USC
Wyoming (+30) - Texas
Southern Miss (+20.5) - Nebraska
Boston College (+3) - Miami
Boise St (+7) - Michigan St
Texas-San Antonio (+6.5) - South Alabama
Massachusetts (+24.5) - UConn
Buffalo (+38) - Georgia
Duke (-3) - Florida Int’l

Last Week: N/A
Season: 0-0-0

+ Gut Plays --
Michigan (+14) - Bama.  Big line move on Tuesday.  I don't bet for or against Michigan; still I'd be remiss to not mention this incredible value.
Vandy (+6.5) - South Carolina.  Over 80% of the money is hitting SCar, yet no bumps to 7.  Want 7.  Need 7.  Thinking 7 comes before Saturday Thursday.
PS. These are two of the most contrarian plays in Week 1. Fading the public FTW!

Double PS  Auburn is currently (+3.5) vs. Clemson.  If the number bumps to (+4), the model will hit it.

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