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Sunday, August 26, 2012

The Model


After a pure 2011 season and countless +EV plays, I'm back for another year.

It might be impossible to repeat last year's hit rate. Wiseguys in Vegas who make a living off of college-football-betting dream of hitting 57% in a season. Then again, I ran more regressions in the summer and the model has been improved.

Last Season: 83-48-4 (63.4%)

// All lines will be posted as of that week's Monday; taken from 5Dimes (or SBR - Live Odds).
// Each play, unless stated differently, will be worth 1 unit. On this blog, 1 unit is worth 3% of the total bankroll.  For example, if my bankroll was $1,000, each bet would be $30. Units are incremental, not a static entity.
// Enjoy

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