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Saturday, December 6, 2014

Week 15 Picks

In a first for the Stream, my algorithm found no value on a college football Saturday.  In the model's view, the lines are priced correctly across the board.

With that said I have a slight lean in two games, and by slight lean I mean that I will be getting aggressive at the sportsbook.  My gut feeling is that Florida State and Wisconsin both cover.

With Georgia Tech losing their best receiver, I think they become one-dimensional and FSU's defense shuts them down.  DeAndre Smelter had 715 receiving yards for the Yellow Jackets this year.  The next closest was Darren Waller with 255.  That's for the year.  The entire year.  It pains me to bet against Zach Laskey, I mean the guy is just a touchdown machine (9 total TDs this year), but this is business.

FSU -3.5

With Ohio State, first thing's first.  Cardale Jones can't pass.  Cardale Jones can't run.  The question mark is how much of an impact Jalin Marshall will have on the game.  Either way, there's the chance that the Buckeyes offense just implodes and if that happens, I want to be on the other side.

Wisconsin -4


3 comments :

Anonymous said...

Cardale aint come to play SCHOOL

Kevin said...

Closed out the season at a 47% clip for both LOW and regular picks. Looking to make 6 bowl picks and get my overall percentage in or close to green with a 4-2 or better record.

Last six weeks in order:

3-1
3-1
0-4
2-1
3-1
2-2

Season Total

**************
25-28 Total (47%)
7-8 Lock of Week (LOW) (47%)
**************

Anonymous said...

need bowl picks from both Kevin and Mike, and needed them yesterday