Week 10 - A Friday Special

How is Duke catching more than a field goal?  I mean this line is just a head scratcher.  Duke is the ranked team.  Duke is playing for an appearance in the ACC Championship game.  Duke’s defense is 5th in the nation.  Duke leads the conference in turnover margin (+8) and Pitt is dead last (-6).  It will be a low-scoring game and Duke has the better kicker.  Duke is 75% against the spread in their last 20 games, Pitt has only covered once in their last 6.

This line sums up everything I need to know about college football this year. I know I’ve already said this a million times, but there just has never been a more unpredictable season in the history of the game.  Never seen anything like it.  If Duke doesn’t win this game outright I am done for the rest of the season.

+ Week 10 Picks --

2 Units

Duke (+3.5) - Pittsburgh

Week 10

2014 continues to be a grind.  For the first time in four years, the Stream is struggling to stay above water.  Yeah there's a lot of variance but oh my does it feel like we're hanging on for dear life.

And even if we're trending in the wrong direction, gotta have that confidence that it's going to turn around this week.  

Now someone get me a stake.

PS - I've bet on the Stanford-Oregon game for the last 15 years and never lost.

+ Week 10 Picks --

1 Unit

North Carolina (+17) - Miami FL

Stanford (+10) - Oregon

West Virginia (+6) - TCU

Temple (+7.5) - East Carolina

Brigham Young (-4.5) - Middle Tennessee St

Missouri (-6.5) - Kentucky

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Lines: 10/27/2014 1:00pm

Week 9 Recap

The week started rocky on Thursday night when Miami rolled into Blacksburg and worked the Hokies.  That's Virginia Tech's third loss at home, the most since 1992.  And this is a team that beat Ohio State in Columbus?  What a year.

The most exciting game of the weekend was Ole Miss at LSU.  Can't rule anything out during a night game in Death Valley.  (Includes facemasks getting ripped off a helmet)

+ Week 9 Winners -- 

Connecticut (+27.5) - East Carolina

North Carolina (+7) - Virginia

+ Week 9 Losers -- 

Virginia Tech (+3) - Miami FL

Brigham Young (+6.5) - Boise St

+ Push -- 

Kent St (+7) - Miami OH

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Last Week: 2-2-1

Season: 38-49-1 (43.4%)

Net Units: -10

Win/Loss: $-1499.95

Week 9

When I checked the scores on Saturday night:

Five underdogs.  Exactly what’s needed to stop a horrific cold streak.

+ Week 9 Picks --

2 Units

Virginia Tech (+3) - Miami FL

1 Unit

Connecticut (+27.5) - East Carolina

North Carolina (+7) - Virginia

Brigham Young (+6.5) - Boise St

Kent St (+7) - Miami OH

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Lines: 10/20/2014 12:00pm

Week 8 Recap

Another 1-5 week and more evidence that this season has been impossible to bet.

Starting with the top play on the Stream, things looked promising for Tulsa +2 when they were leading 30-14 in the third quarter.  Then came the epic collapse and the Golden Hurricane lost by 8.

I also felt confident about Texas A&M when late money arrived on the Aggies.  After all, Alabama was 1-8-1 against the spread in their last ten games.  They won 59-0.

Finally, how about this stat … When Missouri was up 42-0 against the Gators in the third quarter, they had 97 yards of offense.  How is that possible?

+ Week 8 Winners -- 

Appalachian St (+7) - Troy

+ Week 8 Losers -- 

Tulsa (+2) - South Florida

UCLA (-7) - California

Texas A&M (+12) - Alabama

Washington (+21) - Oregon

Bowling Green (-3) - Western Michigan

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Last Week: 1-5

Season: 36-47 (43.4%)

Net Units: -9

Win/Loss: $-1381.77

Week 8

If I've learned anything over the years, it's that the Stream always rebounds after rough weekends.  Expecting a big Saturday.

Love these six early lines.  What I'll look like when these picks go 6-0:

+ Week 8 Picks --

1 Unit

Tulsa (+2) - South Florida

UCLA (-7) - California

Texas A&M (+12) - Alabama

Washington (+21) - Oregon

Bowling Green (-3) - Western Michigan

Appalachian St (+7) - Troy

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Lines: 10/13/2014 11:30am

Week 7 Recap

Duds across the board last week, capped off by VMI scoring a backdoor touchdown with 14 seconds left to cover by 1.  The worst.  My reaction when it happened:

It continues to be a difficult season to handicap, and nowhere is it more apparent than with the two teams in Mississippi.  Ole Miss and Mississippi State rolled again.

Baylor won the wildest game of the day with the greatest comeback in school history. The Bears were down 21 in the 4th quarter and scored 24 straight to win 61-58.

USC got lucky when Arizona missed a field goal at the finish and won 28-26. This is one occasion when freezing the kicker paid off.

+ Week 7 Winners -- 

Iowa St (-3) - Toledo

+ Week 7 Losers -- 

UCLA (+3) - Oregon

North Texas (+6.5) - Alabama-Birmingham

Chattanooga (+26) - Tennessee

Navy (-38) - VMI

Texas-San Antonio (-10) - Florida Int'l

//

Last Week: 1-5

Season: 35-42 (45.5%)

Net Units: -5

Win/Loss: $-972.68

Thursday Picks

Another big-time schedule this weekend.  Top teams squaring off all day.  Auburn (2) vs. Miss St (3).  Ole Miss (3) vs. Texas A&M (14).  TCU (9) vs. Baylor (5).  And don't sleep on Oregon (12) vs. UCLA.  I was wrong about the line move, thinking the public would be heavy on Oregon.  Hopefully the Streamers locked in UCLA +3 earlier in the week.

With that being said I think those big games have accurate lines.  Gotta dig deep to find value this week.

What it feels like when I'm making my bets:

What it feels like watching my picks lose:

+ Week 7 Picks (Thursday) --

1 Unit

North Texas (+6.5) - Alabama-Birmingham

Chattanooga (+26) - Tennessee

Navy (-38) - VMI

Iowa St (-3) - Toledo

Texas-San Antonio (-10) - Florida Int'l

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Lines: 10/9/2014 11:30am

Week 7

When its Saturday night and my friends point out that one of the Stream's picks just lost:

Only one game on the Monday slate.  The public will be on Oregon and this line may move up to +3.5 if you decide to wait.  The Ducks are only 2-8 ATS in their last ten games (1-4 this year).  I see a close game with the Bruins on saturday and will be taking the points.

+ Week 7 Picks --

1 Unit

UCLA (+3) - Oregon

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Lines: 10/6/2014 12:00pm

Week 6 Recap

One of the craziest Saturdays we’ve seen in a while.  20 favorites lost outright and many others barely hung on.

The wildest game might have been the Stream’s 2-unit play, Cal at Washington State.  The teams traded scores all night and the defenses were virtually non-existent.  Wazzu had the ball last and drove deep into Cal territory.  Instead of going for the TD (and the cover), their chip-shot kick for the win sailed wide right.  Heinous loss.

As for the best finish, it's a no-brainer.  Arizona State beat USC on a hail mary with no time remaining.

+ Week 6 Winners -- 

Georgia Tech (+2) - Miami FL

Rice (-6) - Hawaii

SMU (+40) - East Carolina

+ Week 6 Losers -- 

Washington St (-3) - California

Western Kentucky (-9.5) - Alabama-Birmingham

Florida Atlantic (-6.5) - Florida Int'l

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Last Week: 3-3

Season: 34-37 (47.9%)

Net Units: -1

Win/Loss: $-563.59

Thursday Picks

Thursday Night Special.  Get ready to grind on a pillow fight tonight.

May have one more for tomorrow.  Have a lean on a big SEC game.

+ Week 6 Picks (Thursday) --

  

1 Unit

Florida Atlantic (-6.5) - Florida Int'l

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Lines: 9/29/2014 1:00pm